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Ch. 4 - Probability
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 4, Problem 4.1.28a

In Exercises 21-28, find the probability and answer the questions.


X-Linked Genetic Disease Men have XY (or YX) chromosomes and women have XX chromosomes. X-linked recessive genetic diseases (such as juvenile retinoschisis) occur when there is a defective X chromosome that occurs without a paired X chromosome that is not defective. In the following, represent a defective X chromosome with lowercase x, so a child with the xY or Yx pair of chromosomes will have the disease and a child with XX or XY or YX or xX or Xx will not have the disease. Each parent contributes one of the chromosomes to the child.


a. If a father has the defective x chromosome and the mother has good XX chromosomes, what is the probability that a son will inherit the disease?

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Step 1: Understand the genetic inheritance. Each parent contributes one chromosome to the child. The father contributes either an X or a Y chromosome, while the mother contributes one of her two X chromosomes.
Step 2: Identify the genetic makeup of the parents. The father has a defective x chromosome (xY), and the mother has two good X chromosomes (XX).
Step 3: Determine the possible combinations of chromosomes for a son. A son inherits the Y chromosome from the father and one of the X chromosomes from the mother. The possible combinations are YX and Yx.
Step 4: Analyze the combinations. A son with the YX combination will not have the disease because the X chromosome from the mother is not defective. A son with the Yx combination will have the disease because the X chromosome from the mother is defective.
Step 5: Calculate the probability. Since the mother has two X chromosomes and each is equally likely to be passed on, the probability of the son inheriting the defective x chromosome is 1/2. Therefore, the probability that the son will inherit the disease is 1/2.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

X-Linked Inheritance

X-linked inheritance refers to the pattern of genetic transmission of traits or diseases that are associated with genes located on the X chromosome. In this case, males (XY) are more likely to express X-linked recessive diseases because they have only one X chromosome. If that X chromosome carries a defective gene, they will exhibit the disease, while females (XX) can be carriers if they have one defective X and one normal X.
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Introduction to Matched Pairs Example 1

Probability in Genetics

Probability in genetics involves calculating the likelihood of inheriting specific traits based on the genetic makeup of the parents. In this scenario, the probability of a son inheriting the disease can be determined by analyzing the combinations of chromosomes contributed by each parent. The father's defective X chromosome and the mother's normal X chromosomes create a specific set of possible outcomes for their offspring.
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Introduction to Probability

Punnett Square

A Punnett square is a diagram used to predict the genetic outcomes of a cross between two parents. It helps visualize the possible combinations of alleles that offspring may inherit. In this case, a Punnett square can be used to illustrate the potential genetic combinations of the father with the defective X chromosome and the mother with two normal X chromosomes, allowing for a clear calculation of the probability of the son inheriting the disease.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Corporate Officers and Committees The Self Driving Unicycle Company was recently successfully funded via Kickstarter and must now appoint a president, chief executive officer (CEO), chief operating officer (COO), and chief financial officer (CFO), and chief human resources officer (CHR). It must also appoint a strategic planning committee with five different members. There are 15 qualified candidates, and officers can also serve on the committee.


a. How many different ways can the five officers be appointed?

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Textbook Question

Redundancy in Computer Hard Drives It is generally recognized that it is wise to backup computer data. Assume that the following refer to use of Western Digital model WD60EFRX hard drives, which have an annual failure rate of 3.66% (based on data from Backblaze, Inc.).

a. If you store all of your computer data on a single hard drive, what is the probability that the drive will fail during a year?

Textbook Question

Phase I of a Clinical Trial A clinical test on humans of a new drug is normally done in three phases. Phase I is conducted with a relatively small number of healthy volunteers. For example, a phase I test of bexarotene involved only 14 subjects. Assume that we want to treat 14 healthy humans with this new drug and we have 16 suitable volunteers available.


a. If the subjects are selected and treated one at a time in sequence, how many different sequential arrangements are possible if 14 people are selected from the 16 that are available?


Textbook Question

Surge Protectors Refer to the accompanying figure showing surge protectors p and q used to protect an expensive television. If there is a surge in the voltage, the surge protector reduces it to a safe level. Assume that each surge protector has a 0.985 probability of working correctly when a voltage surge occurs.


a. If the two surge protectors are arranged in series, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

Textbook Question

Design Your Own Lottery You have been given the task of creating a new lottery. For each \$1 ticket, the player will select 6 different numbers from 1 to 25 (without replacement), and the only prize will be the jackpot won by players who select the six numbers (in any order) that are later drawn.


a. What is the probability of winning with one ticket?

Textbook Question

Mega Millions As of this writing, the Mega Millions lottery is run in 44 states. Winning the jackpot requires that you select the correct five different numbers from 1 to 70 and, in a separate drawing, you must also select the correct single number from 1 to 25.


a. Find the probability of winning the jackpot.