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Ch. 3 - Probability
Larson - Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World 8th Edition
Larson8th EditionElementary Statistics: Picturing the WorldISBN: 9780137493470Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 3, Problem 3.R.18

"In Exercises 17 and 18, use the table, which shows the numbers of first-time and repeat U.S. nursing students taking the National Council Licensure Examination (NCLEX-RN® exam) to pass or fail in a recent year. (Adapted from National Council Licensure Examinations)
3.
18. Find the probability that a student passed, given that the student repeated the exam."

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Step 1: Understand the problem. We are tasked with finding the probability that a student passed the NCLEX-RN exam, given that the student repeated the exam. This is a conditional probability problem, where we need to focus on the 'Repeat' row of the table.
Step 2: Recall the formula for conditional probability. The probability of event A given event B is calculated as P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B). In this case, A is 'Passed' and B is 'Repeated the exam'.
Step 3: Identify the relevant values from the table. From the 'Repeat' row, the number of students who passed is 44,983, and the total number of students who repeated the exam is 104,758.
Step 4: Apply the formula. The conditional probability P(Passed | Repeated) is calculated as the number of students who passed and repeated (44,983) divided by the total number of students who repeated the exam (104,758).
Step 5: Simplify the fraction or calculate the division to find the probability. This step involves performing the division 44,983 / 104,758 to get the final probability value.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Conditional Probability

Conditional probability refers to the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. In this context, it involves calculating the probability that a nursing student passed the NCLEX-RN exam, given that they are a repeat test-taker. This is expressed mathematically as P(Pass | Repeat), which requires using the number of repeat students who passed divided by the total number of repeat students.
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Total Probability

Total probability is a fundamental concept in probability theory that helps in calculating the overall likelihood of an event by considering all possible scenarios. In this case, it involves understanding the total number of students who took the exam, both first-time and repeat test-takers, to contextualize the passing rates. This concept is essential for determining the base rates needed for calculating conditional probabilities.
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Data Interpretation

Data interpretation involves analyzing and making sense of numerical data presented in tables or charts. In this question, it requires extracting relevant figures from the provided table, such as the number of repeat students who passed and the total number of repeat students, to compute the desired probability. Effective data interpretation is crucial for accurately answering statistical questions and drawing valid conclusions.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

In Exercises 17 and 18, use the table, which shows the numbers of first-time and repeat U.S. nursing students taking the National Council Licensure Examination (NCLEX-RN® exam) to pass or fail in a recent year. (Adapted from National Council Licensure Examinations)

17. Find the probability that a student took the exam for the first time, given that the student failed.

Textbook Question

In Exercises 45-48, use combinations and permutations.

48. An employer must hire 2 people from a list of 13 applicants. In how many ways can the employer choose to hire the two people?

Textbook Question

In Exercises 7-12, classify the statement as an example of classical probability, empirical probability, or subjective probability. Explain your reasoning.

11. The probability of rolling 2 six-sided dice and getting a sum of 9 is 1/9.

Textbook Question

28. A sample of 6500 automobiles found that 1560 of the automobiles were black, 3120 of the automobiles were sedans, and 1170 of the automobiles were black sedans. Find the probability that a randomly chosen automobile from this sample is black or a sedan.

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 5 and 6, use the Fundamental Counting Principle.

6. The state of Virginia's license plates have three letters and four digits. Assuming that any letter or digit can be used, how many different license plates are possible?

Textbook Question

In Exercises 49-53, use counting principles to find the probability.

53. A corporation has six male senior executives and four female senior executives. Four senior executives are chosen at random to attend a technology seminar. What is the

probability of choosing

b. four women?